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Actionable market insight for technically motivated directional traders

  • I'm new to this. Where do I start?

    Start with the Documentation. See link above. Then you may want to read through the documentation of our software products to see how we go about interacting with the markets.

  • When is this page updated?

    We update this page, with our plan and outlook for the next trading day, by midnight Eastern Time prior to every trading session on the US futures markets. We provide a morning brief for the day's trading session around 8am Eastern Time. We also post updates as necessary during the day, starting with a "Morning brief" pre-session, Eastern Time.

  • Your charts are too big for me

    This is the most frequent comment we receive. Consider the following:


    a) It's important to ask the question: why do we want to trade a given timeframe. If because that's where our edge is, fine. But if we want to trade a timeframe because that's what we think is the only thing we have money for, we're in trouble. We have to pick timeframe not based on our wishes, but on where our verified edge is.

    b) Ok, is there some good news?

    Yes, lots:

    - With us, you'll be trading with an edge. (Without an edge, there is no point in risking a single dollar on the markets.)

    - Now, most of our trades are intraday trades, the 240min timeframe still being six times less than a day.

    - Also, many of our 240min trade ideas can be adapted to even smaller timeframes by simply waiting for the next pullback on the lower timeframe (LTF) after the 240min trigger.

    - Also, many of our trade ideas are on currency futures. On relatively small accounts, they can be executed on forex, which allows more granular risk management.

    - Many of our trade ideas can also be executed on ETFs: say, GLD for a GC trade or TLT for bond futures.

    - Finally, on smaller accounts trades can be executed with micro contracts (MES, MGC etc.). While some will say "that way you can't make money", our answer is: but one will learn to fish, and that's worth all the money!

    It is clear our service allows the capital accumulation process to be implemented on any reasonably-sized account.

  • What do "technically motivated" and "directional" mean?

    Technically motivated traders make trading/investing decisions based on what price has done in the past. We, as technically motivated traders, do not normally include macroeconomic or fundamental factors (e.g. a given company's financials) into our thinking. We hold the view that patterns can be uncovered in price behaviour alone that have predictive value.

    Directional traders expect price to move up or down. For directional traders to make money, price needs to move. Note: there are non-directional trading styles as well, although those are beyond the scope of our focus on these pages.

  • Miscellaneous notes

    - Make sure you read the Documentation, become familiar with our Market Scanner, and follow the markets every day to build intuition to make best use of this service.

    - We tend to scale back activities on the indexes leading up to FOMC releases, while being aware that the FOMC news release can often serve as a catalyst. We also stay out of intraday trades 10 minutes before and after of major news releases.

    - We're often wrong. After all, we work with probabilities, and this work is all about the future, the yet unknown. We judge our work not by how many times we're right or wrong, but - to paraphrase one of the best traders of all time - by 'how much we make when we're right and how much we lose when we're wrong'.

Please note: instead of the live trade rooms, we’ll upload one edited video about an important aspect of successful trading weekly or as warranted, solely for Premium subscribers. Send in your comments or questions you’d like to be covered in this new video series. Put “Premium videos” in the subject line. Thanks!

Futures, foreign currency and options trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing one's financial security or lifestyle. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

US Futures at a glance

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF monday, 2022 10 31

No News

Indexes: standing by
Currencies: 6A short, 6B long setup.
Commodities: CL/HO/RB long setups
Financials: ZN/ZB shorts setting up
Agriculturals: ZL long in progress. ZC, ZS longs setting up, ZW short setup

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF friday, 2022 10 28

News 8.30am ET

Indexes: YM has touched upper Keltner, watching if others follow.
Currencies: Several long setups on the 240min timeframe (first time after about half a year…, so caution is advised). 6S, 6C may work best.
Commodities: CL/HO/RB long setups
Financials:
Agriculturals: ZL long in progress, but no momentum. ZW short setup

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF THURSDAY, 2022 10 27

News 8.30am ET

Indexes: measured move completed, upper end of range tested. Expect consolidation
Currencies:
Commodities: CL/HO/RB long setups
Financials:
Agriculturals: ZL long in progress

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF wednesday, 2022 10 26

News 8.30am, 10am, 10.30am ET

Indexes: good read, standing by (see video for details)
Currencies: 6A, 6N, 6C short setups (we insist on triggers as always!)
Commodities: CL/HO long setups
Financials: consolidation, standing by
Agriculturals: ZL may turn into a slide

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF TUESDAY, 2022 10 25

News 10am ET

Indexes: measured move potential on the ES (see video for details)
Currencies: 6E, 6A, 6C short setups
Commodities: CL/HO long setups
Financials:
Agriculturals:

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF Monday, 2022 10 24

News 9.45am ET

Indexes: standing by
Currencies: 6E, 6A, 6C short setups
Commodities: NG short in progress. CL/HO long setups
Financials: ZB, ZN 1R hit on daily
Agriculturals: ZL 1R.

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF friday, 2022 10 21

Note: apologies, just dealing with a soar throat, no video tonight. We’ll be back in the morning. I switched on the new RRR ‘hotzones’ on the charts for demo purposes on the various timeframes.

No News

Indexes: ready to short if triggered
Currencies: 6E short setup, 6J 1R and more, 6S, 6A short setups
Commodities: NG short in progress. CL/HO long setups, GC 1R, SI short setups
Financials: ZB, ZN 1R hit on daily
Agriculturals: ZC, ZW flat. ZL 1R, flat.

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF thursday, 2022 10 20

News at 8.30am, 10am

Indexes: standing by, see video
Currencies: 6E short setup, 6J 1R and more, 6S short setup
Commodities: NG short in progress. CL/HO long setups, GC 1R, SI short setup
Financials: ZB, ZN 1R hit on daily
Agriculturals: ZC, ZW longs in progress, but no momentum. ZL upside break in progress

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF Wednesday, 2022 10 19

News at 8.30am, 10.30am

Indexes: long setups on NQ, ES on 240min, but overall short/midterm environment is not bullish
Currencies: 6E short setup (see todays video), 6J 1R and more
Commodities: NG short in progress. CL/HO long setups, GC short setup
Financials: ZB 1R hit on daily
Agriculturals: ZC, ZW longs in progress, but no momentum. ZL upside break in progress

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF TUESDAY, 2022 10 18

News at 9.15am

Indexes: staying out for now, see details in video
Currencies: 6E short setup, 6J 1R and more
Commodities: NG short in progress. CL/HO long setups, GC potential short
Financials: ZB/ZN further shorts setting up
Agriculturals: ZC, ZW longs in progress, but no momentum. ZL expected to break to the upside

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF MONDAY, 2022 10 17

No News.

Note: A little tired in the video :), but we must pay attention, an important day coming up on the indexes! Also watching energies, and 6E. See video for details!

Indexes: Friday’s failure test failed by the end of Friday. Ready to short.
Currencies: 6E short setup, 6J 1R and more
Commodities: NG short in progress. CL/HO long setups
Financials: ZB/ZN shorts setting up
Agriculturals: ZC, ZW longs in progress, but no momentum

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF friday, 2022 10 14

News at 8.30am

Note: dramatic intraday reversal in Thursday’s session. Start of a Santa Claus rally?

Indexes: shorts off the table
Currencies: shorts off the table
Commodities: NG manage if short. CL/HO long setups
Financials: flat is the correct position
Agriculturals: ZC, ZW longs in progress

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF thursday, 2022 10 13

News at 8.30am, 11am EDT

Very little change since yesterday.

Indexes: Ready to short the indexes further on a breakdown.
Currencies: 6J, MBT, 6E, 6A shorts in progress
Commodities: NG short has triggered
Financials: ZB/ZN another short setup, but no trigger
Agriculturals: ZC, ZW longs in progress

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF wednesday, 2022 10 12

News at 8.30am EDT

Indexes: Ready to short the indexes further on a breakdown.
Currencies: 6J, MBT, 6E, 6A shorts in progress
Commodities: NG short triggering
Financials: ZB/ZN another short setup
Agriculturals: ZC, ZW longs in progress

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF tuesday, 2022 10 11

No News.

Indexes: NQ tests previous pivot. Ready to short the indexes further on a breakdown.
Currencies: 6J, MBT, 6E, 6A shorts in progress
Commodities: CL long setup, NG short triggering
Financials: ZB short in progress, ZN 1R hit on 240min
Agriculturals: ZC long in progress, ZW moves nicely, ZL stalls at .7R on 240min, manage position if long

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF Monday, 2022 10 10

Happy Canadian Thanksgiving!

No News.

Indexes: monitoring for short
Currencies: 6J, MBT, 6E, 6N short setups
Commodities: CL, HO rally, NG short setup
Financials: ZB/ZN short setups
Agriculturals: ZC, ZW ZL long moves in progress or expected

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF friday, 2022 10 07

News at 8.30 EDT

Indexes: monitoring for a directional move from this inside day, HTF (bearish case) may take over
Currencies: 6J, MBT, 6E, 6N short setups
Commodities: standing by
Financials: ZB/ZN short setups
Agriculturals: ZL triggered

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF thursday, 2022 10 06

News at 8.30 EDT

Note: at 2:44 in the video, it’s a bullflag of course

Indexes: ready to take a 1R to the upside, but still bearish mid-term
Currencies: 6J, MBT short setups
Commodities: shorts in trouble overall
Financials: ZB/ZN short setups
Agriculturals: long setup on ZC

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF wednesday, 2022 10 05

Note: no video today, my apologies.

News at 8.30 EDT. “Reset on most of our markets.

Indexes: welcome pullback, ready to short on breakout
Currencies: 6J, MBT short setups, but no trigger
Commodities: NG short setup
Financials: flat for now
Agriculturals: long setup on ZC. ZW triggering

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF tuesday, 2022 10 04

No News. See notes on charts!

Indexes: welcome pullback, ready to short on breakout
Currencies: 6J, MBT short setups
Commodities: NG short setup
Financials: flat for now
Agriculturals: long setup on ZC. ZW triggering

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF mONDAY, 2022 10 03

News 10am

Indexes: ready to short on breakout
Currencies: 6J, MBT short setups
Commodities: NG short setup
Financials: flat for now
Agriculturals: long setup on ZC. ZW triggering

Futures, foreign currency and options trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing one's financial security or lifestyle. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.