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Actionable market insight for technically motivated directional traders

  • I'm new to this. Where do I start?

    Start with the Documentation. See link above. Then you may want to read through the documentation of our software products to see how we go about interacting with the markets.

  • When is this page updated?

    We update this page, with our plan and outlook for the next trading day, by midnight Eastern Time prior to every trading session on the US futures markets. We also post updates as necessary during the day (see 'intraday' folder).

  • Your charts are too big for me

    This is the most frequent comment we receive. Consider the following:


    a) It's important to ask the question: why do we want to trade a given timeframe. If because that's where our edge is, fine. But if we want to trade a timeframe because that's what we think is the only thing we have money for, we're in trouble. We have to pick timeframe not based on our wishes, but on where our verified edge is.

    b) Ok, is there some good news?

    Yes, lots:

    - With us, you'll be trading with an edge. (Without an edge, there is no point in risking a single dollar on the markets.)

    - Now, most of our trades are intraday trades, the 240min timeframe still being six times less than a day.

    - Also, many of our 240min trade ideas can be adapted to even smaller timeframes by simply waiting for the next pullback on the lower timeframe (LTF) after the 240min trigger.

    - Also, many of our trade ideas are on currency futures. On relatively small accounts, they can be executed on forex, which allows more granular risk management.

    - Many of our trade ideas can also be executed on ETFs: say, GLD for a GC trade or TLT for bond futures.

    - Finally, on smaller accounts trades can be executed with micro contracts (MES, MGC etc.). While some will say "that way you can't make money", our answer is: but one will learn to fish, and that's worth all the money!

    It is clear our service allows the capital accumulation process to be implemented on any reasonably-sized account.

  • What do "technically motivated" and "directional" mean?

    Technically motivated traders make trading/investing decisions based on what price has done in the past. We, as technically motivated traders, do not normally include macroeconomic or fundamental factors (e.g. a given company's financials) into our thinking. We hold the view that patterns can be uncovered in price behaviour alone that have predictive value.

    Directional traders expect price to move up or down. For directional traders to make money, price needs to move. Note: there are non-directional trading styles as well, although those are beyond the scope of our focus on these pages.

  • Miscellaneous notes

    - Make sure you read the Documentation, become familiar with our Market Scanner, and follow the markets every day to build intuition to make best use of this service.

    - We tend to scale back activities on the indexes leading up to FOMC releases, while being aware that the FOMC news release can often serve as a catalyst. We also stay out of intraday trades 10 minutes before and after of major news releases.

    - We're often wrong. After all, we work with probabilities, and this work is all about the future, the yet unknown. We judge our work not by how many times we're right or wrong, but - to paraphrase one of the best traders of all time - by 'how much we make when we're right and how much we lose when we're wrong'.

Please note: instead of the live trade rooms, we’ll upload one edited video about an important aspect of successful trading weekly or as warranted, solely for Premium subscribers. Send in your comments or questions you’d like to be covered in this new video series. Put “Premium videos” in the subject line. Thanks!

Futures, foreign currency and options trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing one's financial security or lifestyle. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

US Futures at a glance

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF TUESDAY, 2023 01 31

News at 10am EST. Also: FOMC on Wednesday!

Markets in stand-by mode. Be patient.

Indexes: “expect consolidation after Friday’s rally”, we said, and that’s what we got. Standing by till Wed 2pm EST.
Currencies: standing by
Commodities: one more long on GC likely, standing by, study in KC
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: standing by

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF monday, 2023 01 30

No News.

Indexes: expect consolidation after Friday’s rally
Currencies: looking for long on 6B/6E
Commodities: RB long setup
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: long setups on ZC, ZS, ZW

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF friday, 2023 01 27

News at 8.30am EST

Indexes: longs in progress
Currencies: longs in progress on 6A/6N/6E. MBT expected to move with indexes
Commodities: GC long setup on 240min, SI expected to move up. RB long setup
Financials: dropped from longs
Agriculturals: standing by

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF thursday, 2023 01 26

News at 8.30am, 10am EST

Video shortly.

Indexes: long in progress and/or bullish breakout expected
Currencies: long in progress on 6A/6N/6E, MBT expected to move with indexes
Commodities: GC triggered, SI expected to move up
Financials: monitoring for long on ZN
Agriculturals: removed ZC from long setup

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF WEDNESDAY, 2023 01 25

News at 10.30am EST (energies)

Indexes: bullish bias until we’re proven wrong
Currencies: long in progress on 6A/6N, triggering on 6E
Commodities: monitoring for long on GC (CL removed from “long” setup list for now)
Financials: monitoring for long on ZN
Agriculturals: long setup on ZC

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF tuesday, 2023 01 24

News at 9.45am EST

Indexes: as expected (see yesterday’s video)
Currencies: longs in progress or setting up on major pairs (6E, 6A, 6N)
Commodities: monitoring for long on GC, CL
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: ZW take what’s available (we don’t like that bottom tail)

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF monday, 2023 01 23

No News.

Note: WORKSHOP AT 12NOON (OPEN TO ALL)

Indexes: bullish bias on the indexes
Currencies: bullish on major pairs (6E, 6A, 6N, 6J)
Commodities: monitoring for long on SI, CL
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: ZW short triggered

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF friday, 2023 01 20

News at 10am

Indexes: monitoring for a bearflag on the ES
Currencies: standing by
Commodities: monitoring SI, CL for a longs, KC short setup
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: ZW triggered

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF THURSDAY, 2023 01 19

News at 8.30am

Indexes: first selloff: watching for what is next
Currencies: standing by
Commodities: standing by
Financials: ZB/ZN 1Rs hit
Agriculturals: standing by

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF wednesday, 2023 01 18

News at 8.30am, 9.15am EST

Note: a somewhat tired voice :), but focus on the excellent setups!

Indexes: consolidation. Watch for any selling pressure emerging. Ready to pursue long upon re-emergence of momentum.
Currencies: 6E/6A/6N long setups or in progress.
Commodities: SI long setup, KC short setup. HG 240min triggered but trade skipped (weekly extended)
Financials: ZB/ZN longs in progress
Agriculturals: ZC, ZS longs in progress

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF TUESDAY, 2023 01 17

No News.

Indexes: RTY hits upper Keltner, bulls in control. A little pause after several green day is possible.
Currencies: 6E/6A/6N long setups. MBT moving to the upside, monitoring.
Commodities: SI long setup
Financials: ZB/ZN monitoring for longs
Agriculturals: ZC, ZS monitoring for longs

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF monday, 2023 01 16

MLK Jr. Day, markets closed.

Join us at 12noon EST for a workshop on best practices for 2023!

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF friday, 2023 01 13

No News.

Note: 90% of our analyses turned out as expected. (and ZC didn’t really trigger… and NG didn’t go far). A good start of the year and a good foundation going forward. Bulls in control of the indexes, and keep an eye on 6E, 6A, SI for continuation of their current moves.

Indexes: RTY hits upper Keltner, bulls in control, short stops distroyed
Currencies: 6E/6A longs in progress
Commodities: GC hits 1900, HG 1R, NG short in progress, SI expected to follow GC
Financials: longs in progress
Agriculturals: ZC short off the table

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF THURSDAY, 2023 01 12

News at 8.30am (a potential catalyst!)

Indexes: a trend day behind us, bulls in control, can they stay in control?
Currencies: 6E/6A long setups
Commodities: GC nearing 1900, KC 2R and more, HG long in progress, NG short in progress
Financials: potential measured move, monitoring for long
Agriculturals: ZC short setup

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF wednesday, 2023 01 11

News at 10.30am (CL) (and CPI on Thursday, a potential catalyst)

Indexes: upside break in progress, stops to be, most likely, tested beyond next pivot
Currencies: 6E long setup
Commodities: GC nearing 1900, KC 1R done, HG long in progress, NG short in progress
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: ZW 1R, ZC short setup

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF TUESDAY, 2023 01 10

No News (but note Powell will speak at 9am, which can be a price-moving hazard).

Indexes: upside break done, what is next?
Currencies: DX weakness, long setups or trades in progress on major pairs
Commodities: GC nearing 1900, SI expected to move up, KC short in progress, HG waiting for pullback on daily, NG short setup
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: ZW short in progress, ZC short setup

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF MONDAY, 2023 01 09

No News.

Indexes: upside break from range. The question: do we fall back in the range or consolidate above the range?
Currencies: DX weakness, long setups on most major pairs
Commodities: GC long as expected, SI expected to move up, KC in progress, HG 1R (measured move)
Financials: good long 1Rs if you took them
Agriculturals: ZW short in progress

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF friday, 2023 01 06

News at 8.30am EST

Indexes: looking for shorts
Currencies: DX seems to be turning (up), watching 6E for a short
Commodities: GC monitoring for long, KC short setup, HG looking for long
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: ZC, ZS, ZW triggered, but then cross-currents

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF THURSDAY, 2023 01 05

Note: make sure you check today’s INTRADAY folder above.

News at 8.30am EST

Indexes: looking for shorts
Currencies: standing by
Commodities: GC long in progress, CL breaks down
Financials: shorts in progress (on weekly), otherwise standing by
Agriculturals: ZC, ZW looking for shorts

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF wednesday, 2023 01 04

News at 10am EST, FOMC at 2pm EST

Indexes: looking for shorts
Currencies: large move on DX, standing by
Commodities: GC/SI upside break in progress, failure test on 240min CL
Financials: shorts in progress
Agriculturals: standing by

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF TUESDAY, 2023 01 03

No News

Indexes: looking for shorts
Currencies: looking for longs, e.g. 6E
Commodities: GC/SI upside break expected
Financials: shorts in progress/looking for shorts if not short yet
Agriculturals: standing by

Futures, foreign currency and options trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing one's financial security or lifestyle. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.