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Actionable market insight for technically motivated directional traders

  • I'm new to this. Where do I start?

    Start with the Documentation. See link above. Then you may want to read through the documentation of our software products to see how we go about interacting with the markets.

  • When is this page updated?

    We update this page, with our plan and outlook for the next trading day, by midnight Eastern Time prior to every trading session on the US futures markets. We also post updates as necessary during the day (see 'intraday' folder).

  • Your charts are too big for me

    This is the most frequent comment we receive. Consider the following:


    a) It's important to ask the question: why do we want to trade a given timeframe. If because that's where our edge is, fine. But if we want to trade a timeframe because that's what we think is the only thing we have money for, we're in trouble. We have to pick timeframe not based on our wishes, but on where our verified edge is.

    b) Ok, is there some good news?

    Yes, lots:

    - With us, you'll be trading with an edge. (Without an edge, there is no point in risking a single dollar on the markets.)

    - Now, most of our trades are intraday trades, the 240min timeframe still being six times less than a day.

    - Also, many of our 240min trade ideas can be adapted to even smaller timeframes by simply waiting for the next pullback on the lower timeframe (LTF) after the 240min trigger.

    - Also, many of our trade ideas are on currency futures. On relatively small accounts, they can be executed on forex, which allows more granular risk management.

    - Many of our trade ideas can also be executed on ETFs: say, GLD for a GC trade or TLT for bond futures.

    - Finally, on smaller accounts trades can be executed with micro contracts (MES, MGC etc.). While some will say "that way you can't make money", our answer is: but one will learn to fish, and that's worth all the money!

    It is clear our service allows the capital accumulation process to be implemented on any reasonably-sized account.

  • What do "technically motivated" and "directional" mean?

    Technically motivated traders make trading/investing decisions based on what price has done in the past. We, as technically motivated traders, do not normally include macroeconomic or fundamental factors (e.g. a given company's financials) into our thinking. We hold the view that patterns can be uncovered in price behaviour alone that have predictive value.

    Directional traders expect price to move up or down. For directional traders to make money, price needs to move. Note: there are non-directional trading styles as well, although those are beyond the scope of our focus on these pages.

  • Miscellaneous notes

    - Make sure you read the Documentation, become familiar with our Market Scanner, and follow the markets every day to build intuition to make best use of this service.

    - We tend to scale back activities on the indexes leading up to FOMC releases, while being aware that the FOMC news release can often serve as a catalyst. We also stay out of intraday trades 10 minutes before and after of major news releases.

    - We're often wrong. After all, we work with probabilities, and this work is all about the future, the yet unknown. We judge our work not by how many times we're right or wrong, but - to paraphrase one of the best traders of all time - by 'how much we make when we're right and how much we lose when we're wrong'.

Please note: instead of the live trade rooms, we’ll upload one video about an important aspect of successful trading weekly or as warranted, solely for Premium subscribers. Send in your comments or questions you’d like to be covered in this new video series. Put “Premium videos” in the subject line. Thanks!

Futures, foreign currency and options trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing one's financial security or lifestyle. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

US Futures at a glance

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF FRIDAY, 2023 06 30

News at 8.30am ET

Indexes: managing longs. No video necessary, the charts, see below, speak. The trades of the year are in progress.
Currencies: Long on MBT
Commodities: standing by
Financials: breakout expected
Agriculturals: standing by

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF THURSDAY, 2023 06 29

News at 8.30am ET

WEBINAR AT 12NOON EDT. JOIN US FOR OUR PRE-LAUNCH SPECIALS FOR PREMIUM MEMBERS!

Indexes: charts unfolding as expected. We’re bullish as we can be, to the previous highs. Note: in trading things do not get easier than this.
Currencies: Long on MBT
Commodities: NG long setup has failed (lesson in video)
Financials: breakout expected
Agriculturals: standing by

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF WEDNESDAY, 2023 06 28

News at 8.30am, 10.30am (CL) ET

Indexes: unfolding as expected: bearflags fails, upside moves in progress
Currencies: Long on MBT
Commodities: NG long setup
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: standing by

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF TUESDAY, 2023 06 27

News at 8.30am, 10am ET

Indexes: monitoring for signs of next leg up (and watching for bearflags to (potentially) fail. Bullish bias, expecting highs to be tested in the coming days
Currencies: Long on MBT, target 35ish, 6J completes journey
Commodities: NG moving, looking for a trade. GC potential measured move
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: standing by

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF MONDAY, 2023 06 26

No News.

Note: no real new development, we’re watching to catch the next move up on the indexes!

Indexes: monitoring for signs of next leg up
Currencies: Long on MBT, target 35ish
Commodities: monitoring for long on NG
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: standing by

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF FRIDAY, 2023 06 23

News at 9.45am

Indexes: consolidation in progress, monitoring for signs of next leg up
Currencies: 6J, 6E flat. Long on MBT.
Commodities: Longs failed on energies.
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: large moves on most instruments, extended, not much to do

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF THURSDAY, 2023 06 22

No News.

Notes:

  • Markets: lots of important things are happening on the markets, it pays to pay attention. We also have several important lessons today, see video.

  • a lot of new material on the website, in the blog, in the Forum, in the Documentation, even on youtube. So go check them out!

  • in the coming days, probably the biggest event is happening in our decade-long history: Remek! Standalones v3.60 is scheduled for release. This is a whole new level of self-learning algorithmic/semi-discretionary trading. And never a better time to be on Premium: Premium members will enjoy a very special deal on “Remek360”. Details soon, we’re planning a pre-sale event and a workshops as well.

Now let’s see the markets:

Indexes: what could be a failure test on LTF (which could be an early warning for the next leg up). We must pay attention.
Currencies: 0.6 on 6J, we’re flat. Long on 6E. BTC/MBT rips but not without us.
Commodities: bullish action on HG, energies. GC/SI what could be price rejection at the lows (a potential pre-cursor for a move up)
Financials: long setups
Agriculturals: large moves on most instruments, extended, not much to do right now. We read the bottom tail on ZS well a few days ago.

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF WEDNESDAY, 2023 06 21

No News.

Indexes: consolidation in progress, monitoring for signs of next leg up
Currencies: Short in progress on 6J. Big day on BTC/MBT.
Commodities: focusing on HG, energies
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: large moves on most instruments, extended, not much to do right now

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF tuesday, 2023 06 20

News at 8.30am.

Indexes: weekly targets reached, expect a day or two of consolidation
Currencies: DX changes direction, watching 6E. Short in progress on 6J. Long setup on weekly BTC.
Commodities: monitoring for longs on GC/SI
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: large moves on most instruments, monitoring for pullbacks

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF monday, 2023 06 19

Markets closed

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF FRIDAY, 2023 06 16

News at 10am

Indexes: long setup RTY, 1R on YM completed
Currencies: short in progress on 6J
Commodities: monitoring for longs on GC/SI (lower prices likely to have been rejected)
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: another 1R on ZS

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF THURSDAY, 2023 06 15

News at 8.30am, 9.15am ET

Indexes: pullbacks on the indexes, ready for the next leg up?
Currencies: short in progress on 6J
Commodities: standing by
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: standing by

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF WEDNESDAY, 2023 06 14

News at 8.30am, 10.30am ET. 2pm FOMC news release.

Notes: strongly bullish environment continues. While this is great news for us, like any environment, trading this environment also requries skills, especially intraday charts (naturally, since other traders are after our money, as we are after theirs.) When you zoom out, things become clearer and trades cleaner. FOMC: expect volatility both ways, before markets will likely end up higher.

IMPORTANT notes on SI: I forgot to mention in the video: the timeframe conflict on the SI between the the daily and 240min chart (daily bearflag). Based on that, it was reasonable to AVOID that entry on the 240min chart. Whether you were watching the SI yesterday or not, doesn’t matter. Just take the lesson with you: when the HTF is not in support, consider a) skipping the trade altogether or b) at least trade it with smaller size.

Indexes: indexes rally on, manage existing positions. Tread carefully on FOMC days!
Currencies: a lot of back and forth. Still looking for shorts on major pairs, e.g. especially on 6J
Commodities: SI weekly bullflag intact, but cross-winds on smaller charts.
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: ZS 1R completed, after all.

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF TUESDAY, 2023 06 13

News at 8.30am ET.

Indexes: indexes rally on
Currencies: DX bearflag failing. Looking for shorts on major pairs, e.g. 6E, 6J
Commodities: SI long setup
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: ZS out with a profit

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF Monday, 2023 06 12

No News.

Indexes: indexes likely ready for further advance, focus and act based on your risk rules ! (if not yet in position)
Currencies: DX ignoring 240m bearflag, expecting complex bullflag to get going on daily. With what that means on major pairs.
Commodities: GC, SI long setups
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: ZS long in progress

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF FRIDAY, 2023 06 09

Note: just a sore throat tonight, so there will be no video. See notes below. Focus on positioning long on the indexes and/or longs on metals.

No News.

Indexes: choppy two days may be over, indexes likely ready for further advance.
Currencies: DX uncertainty. Standing by.
Commodities: GC, SI likely ready to go higher
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: watching ZS for a long breakout

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF THURSDAY, 2023 06 08

News at 8.30am, 10.30am (CL) ET

Indexes: NQ retreats, ES most likely transitioning into a complex bullflag. YM bullflag (240min), potential measured move (daily), RTY rocks.
Currencies: 6J is moving, not too late to enter
Commodities: standing by
Financials: ZB short triggering
Agriculturals: standing by

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF WEDNESDAY, 2023 06 07

News at 8.30am, 10.30am ET

Indexes: no change, we are in position. Note: RTY is catching up.
Currencies: continuing to look for short on 6J. Note the price rejection on MBT/BTC. We’re bullish on bitcoin.
Commodities: standing by
Financials: nothing new
Agriculturals: nothing new

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF TUESDAY, 2023 06 06

No News

Indexes: more upside expected, be positioned
Currencies: nothing happened today (Monday), continuing to look for shorts on major pairs: 6E, 6B, 6A
Commodities: standing by
Financials: nothing new, short setup on ZB/ZN
Agriculturals: monitoring for long on ZS (but noting that the daily is neutral)

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF MONDAY, 2023 06 05

News at 10am

Indexes: more upside expected, but first: expect consolidation
Currencies: looking for shorts on major pairs: 6E, 6B, 6A
Commodities: standing by
Financials: short setup on ZB/ZN
Agriculturals: monitoring for long on ZS

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF friday, 2023 06 02

News at 8.30am

Indexes: upside break in progress
Currencies: cross-currents, standing by, no change in game plan: looking for shorts on major pairs
Commodities: standing by
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: standing by

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF thursday, 2023 06 01

News at 8.30am, 10am, 11am

Indexes: monitoring for an upside break
Currencies: 6J short setup
Commodities: standing by
Financials: standing by
Agriculturals: standing by

Futures, foreign currency and options trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing one's financial security or lifestyle. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.