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Actionable market insight for technically motivated directional traders

  • I'm new to this. Where do I start?

    Start with the Documentation. See link above. Then you may want to read through the documentation of our software products to see how we go about interacting with the markets.

  • When is this page updated?

    We update this page, with our plan and outlook for the next trading day, by midnight Eastern Time prior to every trading session on the US futures markets. We also post updates as necessary during the day (see 'intraday' folder).

  • Your charts are too big for me

    This is the most frequent comment we receive. Consider the following:


    a) It's important to ask the question: why do we want to trade a given timeframe. If because that's where our edge is, fine. But if we want to trade a timeframe because that's what we think is the only thing we have money for, we're in trouble. We have to pick timeframe not based on our wishes, but on where our verified edge is.

    b) Ok, is there some good news?

    Yes, lots:

    - With us, you'll be trading with an edge. (Without an edge, there is no point in risking a single dollar on the markets.)

    - Now, most of our trades are intraday trades, the 240min timeframe still being six times less than a day.

    - Also, many of our 240min trade ideas can be adapted to even smaller timeframes by simply waiting for the next pullback on the lower timeframe (LTF) after the 240min trigger.

    - Also, many of our trade ideas are on currency futures. On relatively small accounts, they can be executed on forex, which allows more granular risk management.

    - Many of our trade ideas can also be executed on ETFs: say, GLD for a GC trade or TLT for bond futures.

    - Finally, on smaller accounts trades can be executed with micro contracts (MES, MGC etc.). While some will say "that way you can't make money", our answer is: but one will learn to fish, and that's worth all the money!

    It is clear our service allows the capital accumulation process to be implemented on any reasonably-sized account.

  • What do "technically motivated" and "directional" mean?

    Technically motivated traders make trading/investing decisions based on what price has done in the past. We, as technically motivated traders, do not normally include macroeconomic or fundamental factors (e.g. a given company's financials) into our thinking. We hold the view that patterns can be uncovered in price behaviour alone that have predictive value.

    Directional traders expect price to move up or down. For directional traders to make money, price needs to move. Note: there are non-directional trading styles as well, although those are beyond the scope of our focus on these pages.

  • Miscellaneous notes

    - Make sure you read the Documentation, become familiar with our Market Scanner, and follow the markets every day to build intuition to make best use of this service.

    - We tend to scale back activities on the indexes leading up to FOMC releases, while being aware that the FOMC news release can often serve as a catalyst. We also stay out of intraday trades 10 minutes before and after of major news releases.

    - We're often wrong. After all, we work with probabilities, and this work is all about the future, the yet unknown. We judge our work not by how many times we're right or wrong, but - to paraphrase one of the best traders of all time - by 'how much we make when we're right and how much we lose when we're wrong'.

Please note: instead of the live trade rooms, we’ll upload one video about an important aspect of successful trading weekly or as warranted, solely for Premium subscribers. Send in your comments or questions you’d like to be covered in this new video series. Put “Premium videos” in the subject line. Thanks!

Futures, foreign currency and options trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing one's financial security or lifestyle. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

US Futures at a glance

Note: IB 1 = inside bar (daily), IB 2 = two consecutive inside bars. Data supplied by Remek! Inside Bar.

Click above for intraday trade ideas.

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF friday, 2023 12 29

No News.

Indexes: no change in the task. Protect positions with stops. Monday market closed, consider weekend risk exposure carefully!
Currencies: flat
Commodities: flat
Financials: flat
Agriculturals: flat

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF thursday, 2023 12 28

News 8.30am, 11am EST

Note: no new information, no video necessary.

Indexes: no change in the task. Protect positions with stops.
Currencies: a big day on majors!
Commodities: looking for longs on CL, HO, RB.
Financials: flat
Agriculturals: flat

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF wednesday, 2023 12 27

News 8.30am, 11am EST

Indexes: Long on ES/NQ. Be mindful of all time highs! A sudden selloff is not impossible, protect position with stops!
Currencies: Long on MBT, long on 6E, and other major pairs of your choice. Some are still coming up, see video!
Commodities: looking for longs on CL, HO, RB.
Financials: flat
Agriculturals: flat

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF tuesday, 2023 12 26

Note: Canadian markets closed. US markets open.

No News.

Indexes: Long on ES/NQ
Currencies: Long on MBT, long on 6E
Commodities: long on CL, HO. Note the measured move potential (MMP) on HO
Financials: flat
Agriculturals: flat

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF friday, 2023 12 22

News at 8.30am

Indexes: looking to reenter long
Currencies: Long on MBT, long on 6E, long on 6A, 6S
Commodities: long setup on CL, HO
Financials: flat
Agriculturals: flat

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF THURSDAY, 2023 12 21

News at 8.30am

Note: Check back before the open, we’ll upload a video if necessary. Monitoring the strength of a bounce, if any, on the indexes.

Indexes: YM hits 38000, and sells off, others follow. Stopped out and flat. What’s next depends on next few daily candles.
Currencies: Long on MBT, long on 6E, long setup on 6A
Commodities: long setup on CL
Financials: flat
Agriculturals: flat

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF Wednesday, 2023 12 20

News at 10am, 10.30am (CL)

Indexes: last push to all time highs in progress. Be ready for all possibilities, including a sudden sell-off, and make sure you get paid
Currencies: Long on MBT, longs in progress on 6E, 6A, 1R on 6S
Commodities: KC 1R+
Financials: flat
Agriculturals: flat

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF tuesday, 2023 12 19

News at 8.30am.

Indexes: last push to all time highs expected. Be ready for all possibilities, including a sudden sell-off, and make sure you get paid
Currencies: Long on MBT, long setups on 6E (double inside bar), 6A, 6S
Commodities: KC long in progress. CL out with .5R
Financials: flat
Agriculturals: flat

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF MONDAY, 2023 12 18

No News.

Indexes: on the way to all time highs, make sure you get paid
Currencies: Long on MBT, stop around 40,000.
Commodities: KC long in progress. CL long setup
Financials: flat
Agriculturals: flat

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF FRIDAY, 2023 12 15

News at 9.15am ET

Note: Not much new, we’ll be taking profits and tightening stops at all time highs

Indexes: on the way to all time highs, make sure you get paid
Currencies: Long on MBT. 1Rs on many majors.
Commodities: KC long in progress
Financials: flat
Agriculturals: flat

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF tHURSDAY, 2023 12 14

News at 8.30am ET

Note: stay humble, tighten helmets

Indexes: 1Rs everywhere
Currencies: Long on MBT. Long setups, longs in progress and/or 1Rs on most majors.
Commodities: notable reversals on GC, SI. KC triggers
Financials: flat
Agriculturals: flat

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF wEDNESDAY, 2023 12 13

News at 8.30am ET, 2PM FED news release

Indexes: no new info, the task: to trail longs to all time highs
Currencies: Long on MBT. Long setups on 6B, 6N, 6S (insist on trigger)
Commodities: flat
Financials: flat
Agriculturals: flat

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF tuesday, 2023 12 12

News at 8.30am ET (expected market mover)

Note: we can’t add anything to what’s been already said, so no video tonight. One market wisdom: one-sided markets are capable of surprises, and now the whole planet is long. So use trailing stops, otherwise take it to the all time highs. Exit there and stand by. What happens after, we’ll deal with it then. If you have resources and mental focus left, see 6B, 6N for more work. :)

Indexes: no new info, think long, be long, trail to all time highs
Currencies: Long on MBT. Excellent Long setups on 6B, 6N
Commodities: flat
Financials: flat
Agriculturals: flat

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF mONDAY, 2023 12 11

No News.

Join us at 4pm ET in the room!

Indexes: long setups, think long or be long
Currencies: Long on MBT. Long setups on 6B, 6N
Commodities: flat
Financials: flat
Agriculturals: flat

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF friday, 2023 12 08

News 8.30am (potential catalyst on the indexes!)

Indexes: long setups, think long or be long
Currencies: Long on MBT. Long setups on 6S, 6B, 6N, giant move on 6J
Commodities: flat, NG may start forming a bottom
Financials: flat
Agriculturals: flat

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF thursday, 2023 12 07

News 8.30am

Indexes: consolidation on all markets, not much new information
Currencies: Long on MBT. No triggers and off the list 6E, 6S
Commodities: KC off the list.
Financials: flat
Agriculturals: flat

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF wednesday, 2023 12 06

News 8.30am, 10.30am (CL)

Indexes: See yesterday’s and todays video on the NQ
Currencies: Long on MBT. Monitoring for long on 6E, 6S
Commodities: KC long setup
Financials: flat
Agriculturals: flat

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF tuesday, 2023 12 05

No News.

Indexes: on course to test all time highs. Manage existing longs, wait for setup to enter new ones.
Currencies: Long on MBT. Monitoring for long on 6E, 6S
Commodities: flat
Financials: flat
Agriculturals: flat

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF mONDAY, 2023 12 04

No News.

Indexes: on course to test all time highs. If you’ve followed us, you’re a happy trader.
Currencies: Long on MBT.
Commodities: HG 1R. GC completes measured move.
Financials: flat
Agriculturals: flat

FOR THE TRADING DAY OF FRIDAY, 2023 12 01

News at 10am ET

Indexes: YM hits major daily pivot. Looking for longs on other indexes.
Currencies: Long on MBT. 1R on 6S, 6E stopped out.
Commodities: HG triggered. 1R on KC.
Financials: flat
Agriculturals: flat

Futures, foreign currency and options trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing one's financial security or lifestyle. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.